December 2, 2010 Two Day Rally – A Rare Event


 

The good news is that prices continued higher, as the S&P500 added 1.28 percent to Wednesday’s plus 2.16 percent; equally impressive, the NASDAQ gained 1.17 percent following yesterday’s plus 2.05 percent; and the DJIA sustained its earlier 2.27 rise with a further plus .95 percent. It is only the 51th instance of all three indices experiencing a spurt of 1 percent after gaining more than 2 percent the day before – and the 16th since 1990.

 

 

Yet beware: all of these last 21st century pairs shared the onus of appearing during the two bear markets of 2000/2003 and 2007/2009.

 

Further, record of the day following today’s pattern of two gains after a run of three declines, shows near twice as many negative days as advances. Only the S&P500 diverged from that ratio, with only 19 decreases compared to 14 further upturns.

 

 

 

However, should this rally extend to a third straight increase, it will add strength and continuity to the existing affirmative expectations.

 

 

DJIA                             .95 percent

NASDAQ                    1.17 percent

S&P500                    1.28 percent

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