December 4, 2012 Prices Fall Again

 

 

 

The NASDAQ extended its losing streak to three while the DJIA and the S&P500 fell for the second day in a row. It’s the 20th    repeat, since the beginning of 2000, of this pattern and leaves a mixed outlook for tomorrow. In the past, the NASDAQ moved higher 11 times on the following day, declining on 8 days. The DJIA has the opposite score, 8 increases and 11 declines, whereas 9 increases and 10 losses is the S&P500 result.

 

A more important spotlight though, is on the size of today’s losses. The NASDAQ’s -.18 percent has only 190 other, smaller losses in this century. Similarly, the DJIA and the S&P500 declines rank as the 201st and 271st place.

 

The diagram locates these closes for the S&P500, revealing that all but one happened during the 2003/2007 bull market. And that day, the last occurrence, was during the current expansion.

 

Yet there’s a caution necessary: one of these days was at the very top of that 2007 peak, and four others cluster immediately before that turning point.

 

 

 

DJIA                                         -.11 percent

NASDAQ                                  -.18 percent

S&P500                                    -.17 percent       

 

 17-11-18-only-11-since-2000-12042012.png

 

 

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