September 9, 2011 Another Worse than 2.4 Percent Dip

September 9, 2011                 Another Worse than 2.4 Percent Dip

 

Values eroded during this shortened holiday week, that ended with Friday’s losses of -2.42 percent for the NASDAQ,  -2.67 for the S&P500 and -2.69 percent for the DJIA. Today’s pattern of two successive losses occurred on 159 days since the end of 1999. But going back to Thursday of the week before, the pattern becomes  -2/+1/-3, a sequence seen only three other times in this century.

 

Prices declined sharply after hitting their top on July 7, 45 trading days ago. The total loss for the S&P500 from then to today, amounts to -14.7 percent. While significant, this decline ranks only as the 235th worse in this decade’s near 3,000 trading days.

 

Looking to Monday, we can expect prices to recover: they did so in two of the three previous repeats of this pattern.

 

DJIA              -2.69 percent

NASDAQ      -2.42 percent

S&P500         -2.67 percent

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