Prices increased again, yielding a pattern of [+2, -1, +2] -that is, two gains aftr one decline, following two advances. This combination is associated more with bull markets than when prices are trending down. The diagram locating these days reveals a major cluster during the 2003/2007 expansion. It shows also a complete absence of this pattern in the 2000/2003 bear market. Yet today’s pattern is not solely a feature of bull markets: the greatest frequency happened while prices were heading down after the 2007 market top.
The outlook for tomorrow is mixed: in the past prices moved higher on 14 days while they fell 11 times. Yet, they increased three times as often as they fell during the last two price expansions.