November 13, 2012 A Further Weakening Continues Unusual Pattern


 

 

The S&P500’s decline joined the second straight loss of both the DJIA and the NASDAQ index, resulting in a close experienced just 14 times since 1950. It is the 9th repeat in this century. A brief look at this recent history allows an optimistic view for higher prices.

 

 

In the past, advances outnumbered declines 6:2 on the following day. Further, the diagram shows this pattern happening mostly during the 2003/2007 expansion. Note also that the only repeat in the 2007/2009 contraction hit just before the end of that trend, that soon thereafter, prices turned higher; and that its most recent appearance, in July 2010, marked the end of a short price correction.

 

 

 

 

 

DJIA                                                    -.46  percent

NASDAQ                                            -.70  percent

S&P500                                             -.40  percent

 

 

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