July 18, 2011 Still on the Roller-coaster
Another day closes with prices moving in the opposite direction as the day before. Now four days long, today is the markets 39th repeat since 1999 of this sequence. Unlike previous daily up-and-down series, it is not possible to allocate this one either to rising or falling price trends.
Yet, considering only the 453 price declines in this century, the record reveals a slightly larger possibility of higher prices tomorrow. Roughly 55 percent of the following days closed with an advance.
Given these circumstances as well as insufficient other information needed to project the future, this post will not attempt to estimate what the market will do tomorrow.
DJIA -.76 percent
NASDAQ -.89 percent
S&P500 -.81 percent