May 6, 2011 Up Day Ends Down Week

May 6, 2011                    
Up Day Ends Down Week

 

 

Finally, on a Friday,
prices turned higher after heading down since Monday. Yet today’s gains –the NASDAQ
up .46 percent, the DJIA plus .43 percent and .38 percent for the S&P500-
failed to restore these indices to their levels a week ago.  The S&P500 value today is -1.68 below last
Friday’s; similarly, the NASDAQ fell -1.60 percent while the DJIA lost -1.34
percent.

 

Today’s uptick is
consistent with the record and a further decline would have been unusual, since
only six instances exist when the market’s negative string extended to five
days.

 

As for this coming Monday, the
odds for a second positive close are about equal to the likelihood of another down
day. The record, since 2000, shows 189 declines for today’s pattern, while only
206 closes were higher.

 

DJIA                .43 percent

NASDAQ        .46 percent

S&P500           .38 percent

 

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