February 25, 2011 Prices Recover Most of Tuesdays Losses
The three indices closed the shortened trading week on a positive note: the NASDAQ up 1.58 percent for the day and the S&P500 ahead by 1.06 percent beat the DJIAs .59 percent. Yet todays rebounds are modest in terms of past
daily changes. While the S&P500s performance ranks in the 90th percentile of all changes since 1950, the DJIA and the NASDAQ came in at the 75th percentile.
Note that the close realized the price projections, based on yesterdays closing pattern; however, todays pattern leans substantially towards another decline on Monday.
Evaluating the sharp price rebound, between January 31 and February 25, note that in those 14 trading days, the S&P500 rose 4.48 percent. This pace, while far from extraordinary, is in the 90th percentile of all previous S&P500 advances. Furthermore, this index beat the DJIA and NASDAQ record: the DJIA 14 day advance of 4.20 percent and the mere 3.07 gain of the NASDAQ.
DJIA - .31 percent
NASDAQ .55 percent
S&P500 -.10 percent