September 11, 2008
Today is the 28th time in 2008 that all three indices advanced more than one percent. Of the 173 trading days of the year, only 16 managed moves at a stronger rate than today.
To consider what might happen tomorrow, we look at the closing pattern of the last three days. The sequence is +2/-1, that is, increases today and Wednesday, following Tuesdays decline. In the previous seven cases of 2008, this combination was followed by three up days for the NASDAQ and the S&P500, and two positive days for the DJIA. Moreover, the last two occasion of this pattern saw all three indices declining on the following day.
For the Record:
Comparing todays gains for these three averages with their on balance 2008 record, as posted yesterday, reveals that today is their third straight uptick in a row. This result is consistent with their past: more advances than declines in this sequence.
DJIA 1.46 percent
NASDAQ 1.32 percent
S&P500 1.39 percent