A Further, Significant Advance

September 11, 2008


The NASDAQ gained 1.32 percent, its largest increase since August 22, 13 days ago. The S&P500 was up 1.39 percent while the DJIA, the strongest index of the day, increased 1.46 percent.

Today is the 28th time in 2008 that all three indices advanced more than one percent. Of the 173 trading days of the year, only 16 managed moves at a stronger rate than today.

To consider what might happen tomorrow, we look at the closing pattern of the last three days. The sequence is +2/-1, that is, increases today and Wednesday, following Tuesday’s decline. In the previous seven cases of 2008, this combination was followed by three up days for the NASDAQ and the S&P500, and two positive days for the DJIA. Moreover, the last two occasion of this pattern saw all three indices declining on the following day.


For the Record:

Comparing today’s gains for these three averages with their on balance 2008 record, as posted yesterday, reveals that today is their third straight uptick in a row. This result is consistent with their past: more advances than declines in this sequence.

DJIA 1.46 percent

NASDAQ 1.32 percent

S&P500 1.39 percent

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.