August 29, 2008
The relative magnitude of the sell off was substantial: Only 26 other days had steeper losses this year.
This Friday saw the third weekly loss in a row for the DJIA; it was the second straight decline for the NASDAQ and the S&P500. It seems that the recovery, started in the week ended July 18, has stalled out; and while the NASDAQs gains were the largest over this period, this index has also dropped substantially more, percentage wise, than the DJIA and the S&P500.
As for the opening after the holiday next week, looking at the past patterns after a single days decline, the S&P500 moved higher 17 times and fell only 9 times. The DJIA has one additional negative day, while the NASDAQ has a record of an even number of increases and decreases.
Comparing todays declines for all three averages with their history, as posted yesterday, indicates that the past was not a good predictor, since the earlier results came in with a 3:1 preponderance of gains over losses.
DJIA -1.46 percent
NASDAQ -1.83 percent
S&P500 -1.37 percent