Drop Continues for Second Day

Tuesday’s loss was the fourth decline in the last five trading days for both the S&P500 and the DJIA.

Their recent closing pattern is two losses, following a positive close, after losses in the two previous sessions. There have been 27 of these for the S&P500 since 2000, with a median decline of -.76 percent, Tuesday’s decline of -.66 percent is not as steep.

The DJIA had 30 such -2/+1/-2 days, with its median loss of -.52 percent just about equal to today’s -.51 decrease.

The NASDAQ pattern slightly different, declining in only three of the last five days, results in a -2/+1/-1 history. There have been 53 of these since 2000 –substantially more than the other two indices; but today’s’ loss of -.58 percent is significantly less than the median -1.04 percent.

The table below summarizes these changes and shows the price changes for the following day in identical patterns or circumstances in the past.

10-17-07-2.gif

Posted at 2:10 PM, Wednesday, October 17, 2007.

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